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World Elections
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$19.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$47.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$11.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$8.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$10.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$8.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$30.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$27.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$28.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$38.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$22.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$19.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$38.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$42.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$13.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$34.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$36.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$23.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$34.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$44.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$12.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$35.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$22.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$20.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$37.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$13.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$40.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$33.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$46.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$10.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$36.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$9.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$7.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$27.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$28.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$11.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$39.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27%
chance
Yes 27%
No 73%
$24.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Soccer
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 83%
$13.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$22.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 89%
$11.9M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 84%
$14.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$18.4M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$12.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$19.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$29.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$12.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$11.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$11.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$13.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$14.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.9M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$15.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$15.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$12.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.6M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.7M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$32.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$13.9M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$23.1M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.2M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$12.9M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$16.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Cezchia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$17.0M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$11.9M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$12.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$21.3M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.7M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.5M Vol.
Jul 20
Soccer
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.8M Vol.
Jul 20
Politics
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$7.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39%
chance
Yes 39%
No 61%
$12.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 79%
$8.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$6.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$25.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$6.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$16.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$12.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$29.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$18.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$10.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$36.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$23.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$15.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$26.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$14.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$25.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$31.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$30.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$38.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$29.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$19.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 81%
$10.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$23.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 83%
$15.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$40.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$3.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$6.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$9.2M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 88%
$8.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$11.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$9.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$47.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$21.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$10.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$7.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$30.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$28.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$7.0M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.7M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$9.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$22.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$31.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$32.4M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.3M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$33.6M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$18.1M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.9M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.5M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$3.8M Vol.
Nov 7
World Elections
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Sports
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.0M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
60%
chance
Yes 60%
No 41%
$9.7M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
41%
chance
Yes 41%
No 60%
$10.8M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$16.8M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$20.0M Vol.
May 27
Sports
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 55%
$7.5M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$5.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.1M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$6.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$6.2M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.2M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$15.2M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 88%
$7.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.3M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$4.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15%
chance
Yes 15%
No 85%
$18.7M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$8.9M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$12.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$21.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$16.6M Vol.
Jul 1
Sports
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.5M Vol.
Jul 1
Soccer
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$4.7M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 66%
$5.2M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 88%
$20.3M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$6.6M Vol.
May 31
Soccer
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$19.1M Vol.
May 31
World
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
44%
chance
Yes 44%
No 56%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
World
Netanyahu out by June 30?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$4.1M Vol.
Jun 30
World
Netanyahu out by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.0M Vol.
Apr 30
Sports
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
43%
chance
Yes 43%
No 57%
$1.5M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$2.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.3M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.1M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.8M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.2M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.7M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.6M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.0M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.9M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$1.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
31%
chance
Yes 31%
No 69%
$2.7M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.9M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$3.1M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.3M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.3M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.8M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.5M Vol.
Dec 6
Sports
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$8.4M Vol.
Dec 6
Economic Policy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$41.8M Vol.
Apr 29
Economic Policy
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$21.5M Vol.
Apr 29
Economic Policy
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$22.1M Vol.
Apr 29
Economic Policy
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$25.3M Vol.
Apr 29
Sports
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.3M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
97%
chance
Yes 97%
No 3%
$2.3M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$27.5M Vol.
May 30
Music
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.0M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.2M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.5M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 89%
$1.9M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$1.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.0M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.1M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.8M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.8M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.9M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.4M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.6M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.1M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$1.6M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 90%
$1.4M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
36%
chance
Yes 36%
No 64%
$2.6M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.3M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$1.9M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$2.2M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.3M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.6M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.0M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 98%
$1.4M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.7M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.5M Vol.
May 16
Music
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
May 16
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$24.5M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$21.4M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.2M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$13.8M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$16.6M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.3M Vol.
Apr 12
Sports
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.9M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.6M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.3M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.7M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$10.2M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.9M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.4M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$4.2M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
96%
chance
Yes 96%
No 4%
$3.1M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$14.7M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.0M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.0M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$4.4M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.9M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$556.9K Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.1M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.6M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.7M Vol.
Jun 10
Sports
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.0M Vol.
Jun 10
Trump-Machado
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$967.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$502.6K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$920.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$849.9K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$642.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$1.5M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
58%
chance
Yes 58%
No 42%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$823.5K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$724.8K Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$8.3M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$24.9M Vol.
Dec 31
Trump-Machado
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$31.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 87%
$360.9K Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$1.2M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$566.5K Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
23%
chance
Yes 23%
No 77%
$13.7M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$1.5M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
15%
chance
Yes 15%
No 85%
$1.7M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.4M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.8M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$8.7M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$944.7K Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$3.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Sports
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 30
Iran
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
100%
chance
Yes >99%
No <1%
$47.8M Vol.
Apr 15
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$57.6M Vol.
Dec 31
Brazil
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.8M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$4.6M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.8M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$3.6M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.4M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.8M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.3M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$4.1M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
41%
chance
Yes 41%
No 59%
$4.2M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.7M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$854.6K Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.2M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.0M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.2M Vol.
Oct 4
Brazil
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Oct 4
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
99%
chance
Yes 99%
No 1%
$3.2M Vol.
Jun 30
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
90%
chance
Yes 90%
No 11%
$4.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
85%
chance
Yes 85%
No 15%
$9.6M Vol.
Apr 15
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
96%
chance
Yes 96%
No 4%
$3.1M Vol.
Jun 30
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
95%
chance
Yes 95%
No 5%
$3.6M Vol.
May 15
Middle East
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
85%
chance
Yes 85%
No 15%
$16.1M Vol.
Apr 7
Elections
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$397.9K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$541.6K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$910.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$983.8K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.0M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$745.8K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$344.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$992.0K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.2M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.9M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.2M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$605.0K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.5M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$426.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$761.2K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
23%
chance
Yes 23%
No 78%
$758.3K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 77%
$530.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.3M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$541.4K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$615.1K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$905.2K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.4M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.2M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.3M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$529.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.9M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Elections
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.0M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.5M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.8M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.8M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.3M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.8M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$2.9M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$4.0M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$1.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$753.1K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$311.8K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$56.0K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$78.3K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$203.2K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$300.5K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
27%
chance
Yes 27%
No 74%
$542.7K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 77%
$1.1M Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$424.5K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
34%
chance
Yes 34%
No 67%
$144.9K Vol.
Apr 30
Finance
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 60%
$425.4K Vol.
Apr 30
Politics
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$7.2M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.8M Vol.
Apr 12
Politics
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$629.9K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$246.1K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$127.4K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$240.9K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$319.1K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
66%
chance
Yes 66%
No 35%
$4.6M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$193.9K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$361.8K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$133.0K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$155.4K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$438.4K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$430.7K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$271.3K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.4M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$681.8K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$214.6K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$633.6K Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
23%
chance
Yes 23%
No 78%
$7.0M Vol.
Jun 7
Politics
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$668.1K Vol.
Jun 7
Reza Pahlavi
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$34.2M Vol.
Apr 30
Denmark
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$32.6M Vol.
Dec 31
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$1.4M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$360.4K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$415.3K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$763.6K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$630.5K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$1.3M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
37%
chance
Yes 37%
No 63%
$1.9M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 89%
$679.1K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$424.3K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$263.4K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$826.2K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 84%
$872.3K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
25%
chance
Yes 25%
No 76%
$707.5K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
57%
chance
Yes 57%
No 43%
$2.3M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 80%
$1.8M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$4.8M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$4.6M Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 55%
$696.2K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
25%
chance
Yes 25%
No 75%
$381.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 87%
$255.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$293.4K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$504.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$405.2K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
85%
chance
Yes 85%
No 15%
$478.0K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
60%
chance
Yes 60%
No 41%
$398.8K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$962.2K Vol.
Jan 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$787.6K Vol.
Jan 1
Trump
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
94%
chance
Yes 94%
No 6%
$6.5M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.4M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.4M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.0M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.4M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.5M Vol.
Oct 31
Trump
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$918.0K Vol.
Oct 31
Iran
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 94%
$31.6M Vol.
Jun 30
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.6M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$1.2M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.6M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$380.6K Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.5M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.4M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$1.9M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$1.9M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$2.2M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.3M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$203.0K Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$846.7K Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$617.8K Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
39%
chance
Yes 39%
No 62%
$3.5M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.5M Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$538.8K Vol.
May 1
Bitcoin
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$384.6K Vol.
May 1
Culture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$899.2K Vol.
Jan 7
Culture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$206.1K Vol.
Jan 7
Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$5.7M Vol.
May 1
Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
83%
chance
Yes 83%
No 18%
$2.1M Vol.
Jul 1
Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
74%
chance
Yes 74%
No 27%
$446.3K Vol.
Jun 1
Politics
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 80%
$2.0M Vol.
Apr 22
Khamenei
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$9.3M Vol.
May 1
Khamenei
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$1.0M Vol.
Jul 1
Khamenei
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 92%
$1.6M Vol.
Jun 1
Sports
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.0M Vol.
Feb 1
Culture
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$23.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Culture
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$67.0K Vol.
Apr 30
Politics
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$763.1K Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.4M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.7M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
89%
chance
Yes 89%
No 12%
$586.5K Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.9M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.5M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.1M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.3M Vol.
Jun 3
Politics
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.0M Vol.
Jun 3
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.5M Vol.
Apr 30
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
90%
chance
Yes 90%
No 11%
$1.7M Vol.
Mar 31
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
93%
chance
Yes 93%
No 7%
$839.9K Vol.
Mar 31
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$49.6K Vol.
Mar 31
Trump Presidency
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
82%
chance
Yes 82%
No 19%
$47.9K Vol.
Mar 31
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$556.1K Vol.
Jul 1
Finance
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$980.0K Vol.
Jul 1
Culture
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
54%
chance
Yes 54%
No 47%
$1.5M Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
65%
chance
Yes 65%
No 35%
$698.2K Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
55%
chance
Yes 55%
No 46%
$726.5K Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 52%
$11.0M Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
52%
chance
Yes 52%
No 49%
$592.4K Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
52%
chance
Yes 52%
No 49%
$1.8M Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 51%
$4.0M Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
70%
chance
Yes 70%
No 30%
$623.5K Vol.
Jul 31
Culture
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
91%
chance
Yes 91%
No 9%
$124.6K Vol.
Jul 31
Politics
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.5M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$684.7K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.4M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$839.4K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$3.2M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.4M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$666.1K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$693.5K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.4M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
37%
chance
Yes 37%
No 64%
$524.7K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$688.3K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$789.4K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$414.1K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
42%
chance
Yes 42%
No 58%
$669.1K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$118.5K Vol.
Jun 21
Business
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 65%
$3.3M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
30%
chance
Yes 30%
No 71%
$1.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
19%
chance
Yes 19%
No 82%
$1.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 93%
$949.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$978.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$2.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$955.7K Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Business
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.8M Vol.
Dec 31
Foreign Policy
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$19.6M Vol.
Dec 31
Sports
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
56%
chance
Yes 56%
No 44%
$558.1K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$145.8K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$845.3K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.0M Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$473.9K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 79%
$960.9K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$293.2K Vol.
Jun 16
Sports
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$342.3K Vol.
Jun 16
Tech
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
31%
chance
Yes 31%
No 70%
$1.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$371.0K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
33%
chance
Yes 33%
No 68%
$582.6K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 89%
$79.9K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$7.9M Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 80%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
20%
chance
Yes 20%
No 81%
$1.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$561.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 85%
$942.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes 7%
No 93%
$93.0K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$591.7K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
22%
chance
Yes 22%
No 79%
$2.4M Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
86%
chance
Yes 86%
No 14%
$25.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 84%
$24.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Tech
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
24%
chance
Yes 24%
No 76%
$5.3K Vol.
Dec 31
Iran
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$9.7M Vol.
Apr 22
Iran
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
45%
chance
Yes 45%
No 56%
$3.8M Vol.
Apr 30
Iran
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
63%
chance
Yes 63%
No 38%
$2.0M Vol.
May 31
Iran
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70%
chance
Yes 70%
No 31%
$733.5K Vol.
May 31
Sports
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
97%
chance
Yes 97%
No 3%
$163.4K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$471.3K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$202.2K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$142.8K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$456.6K Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$13.6M Vol.
May 30
Sports
Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$210.3K Vol.
May 30
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$2.4M Vol.
Jun 30
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
22%
chance
Yes 22%
No 79%
$6.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$1.6M Vol.
Jul 1
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$1.8M Vol.
Jul 1
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
61%
chance
Yes 61%
No 39%
$3.2M Vol.
Dec 31
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
42%
chance
Yes 42%
No 59%
$473.2K Vol.
Dec 31
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
79%
chance
Yes 79%
No 22%
$389.3K Vol.
Jul 1
Airdrops
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
91%
chance
Yes 91%
No 10%
$187.4K Vol.
Jul 1
Economy
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
32%
chance
Yes 32%
No 69%
$15.7M Vol.
Apr 30
Politics
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
60%
chance
Yes 60%
No 41%
$4.2M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$3.2M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$927.0K Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.4M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.8M Vol.
May 26
Israel
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 96%
$3.2M Vol.
Jun 30
Israel
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$1.0M Vol.
Dec 31
Israel
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
Apr 30
Israel
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$454.5K Vol.
May 31
Israel
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
18%
chance
Yes 18%
No 83%
$15.4M Vol.
Dec 31
