Buy YES if your forecast is above the market price, or NO if your forecast is below it. FantasyPoly records the trade with play money so you can measure your forecasting skill without deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.
Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.
Wait for the outcome: Correct positions receive 1 virtual credit per share. Incorrect positions lose their virtual stake.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.