Buy YES if your forecast is above the market price, or NO if your forecast is below it. FantasyPoly records the trade with play money so you can measure your forecasting skill without deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.
Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.
Wait for the outcome: Correct positions receive 1 virtual credit per share. Incorrect positions lose their virtual stake.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.