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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Q: OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (14%), No (86%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume: $66.0K

Liquidity: $5.6K

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

14.5%

probability

NO

85.5%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%111010

2%1836

3%665

4%570

5%590

Asks (Sell)

161599%

4798%

40089%

5686%

63084%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

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Amount ($)

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