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Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Q: Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (10%), No (90%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

Volume: $6.0K

Liquidity: $10.7K

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

10.1%

probability

NO

90.0%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%69667

<1%4673

<1%305

<1%183

1%20

Asks (Sell)

4005>99%

5>99%

2000>99%

10>99%

1099%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

Trade

Amount ($)

$

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