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NATO article 5 before 2027?

Q: NATO article 5 before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (15%), No (85%). If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

Volume: $59.3K

Liquidity: $14.7K

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

15.0%

probability

NO

85.0%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%17

2%346

3%1100

4%267

5%260

Asks (Sell)

601599%

1898%

4200096%

90094%

1538791%

Description

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

Trade

Amount ($)

$

This is a simulation. No real money involved.