Buy YES if your forecast is above the market price, or NO if your forecast is below it. FantasyPoly records the trade with play money so you can measure your forecasting skill without deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.
Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.
Wait for the outcome: Correct positions receive 1 virtual credit per share. Incorrect positions lose their virtual stake.
Use play money. No deposits, withdrawals, or real-money risk.
This is a simulation. No real-money trading, withdrawals, or payouts.