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Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Another pandemic before GTA VI?

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30?

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?

Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?

Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2027?

Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2027?

9%chance

Yes 9%

No 91%

$978.945807 Vol.Apr 1

Trade

Politics

Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

1%chance

Yes 1%

No 99%

$826.033367 Vol.Oct 4

Trade

Bitcoin

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?

16%chance

Yes 16%

No 85%

$554.629008 Vol.Oct 1

Trade

OpenAI

Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?

73%chance

Yes 73%

No 27%

$524.825378 Vol.Dec 1

Trade

Crypto

Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

2026 Balance of Power: Other

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?