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world affairs
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
38%
chance
Yes 38%
No 62%
$10.9M Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.9M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$7.5M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
65%
chance
Yes 65%
No 36%
$2.9M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.7M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
35%
chance
Yes 35%
No 66%
$2.4M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.1M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$407.1K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$215.8K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
22%
chance
Yes 22%
No 79%
$189.0K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 89%
$185.0K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
23%
chance
Yes 23%
No 78%
$163.1K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
5%
chance
Yes 5%
No 95%
$158.6K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$69.3K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$11.4K Vol.
May 31
World
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 88%
$9.4K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.3K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$7.2K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
68%
chance
Yes 68%
No 32%
$6.4K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.2K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.0K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No >99%
$5.9K Vol.
May 31
World
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No >99%
$5.7K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.3K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.1K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
18%
chance
Yes 18%
No 82%
$4.9K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$4.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$4.4K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.2K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$4.0K Vol.
May 31
World
Netanyahu out by March 31?
12%
chance
Yes 12%
No 88%
$582.903639 Vol.
Dec 31
World
Netanyahu out by June 30?
39%
chance
Yes 39%
No 61%
$1.11111 Vol.
Dec 31
