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world affairs
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$25.2M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
100%
chance
Yes >99%
No <1%
$23.3M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$16.6M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
26%
chance
Yes 26%
No 75%
$14.5M Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$13.9M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$9.3M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$6.2M Vol.
Apr 12
World
Netanyahu out by June 30?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 95%
$4.7M Vol.
Jun 30
World
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
44%
chance
Yes 44%
No 56%
$1.2M Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$823.4K Vol.
May 31
World
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$489.6K Vol.
Jun 30
World
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$434.6K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$420.1K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
92%
chance
Yes 92%
No 8%
$406.9K Vol.
May 31
World
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$393.1K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$388.9K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$289.3K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$255.2K Vol.
May 31
World
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$248.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$234.5K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$233.8K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$229.4K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$228.3K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$227.8K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$209.9K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$205.8K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$204.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$186.5K Vol.
May 31
World
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 86%
$185.3K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$145.7K Vol.
May 31
World
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$143.6K Vol.
May 31
World
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$117.8K Vol.
Dec 31
World
Netanyahu out by May 31?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$73.9K Vol.
May 31
World
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$41.3K Vol.
Dec 31
