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Politics
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$39.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$39.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$32.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$32.3M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$30.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$29.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$27.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$27.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$26.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$24.2M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$20.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$18.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$18.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$17.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$16.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$15.9M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$15.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$14.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$13.8M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$13.0M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
39%
chance
Yes 39%
No 61%
$12.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$11.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$10.7M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$8.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21%
chance
Yes 21%
No 79%
$8.4M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$7.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
chance
Yes 3%
No 97%
$7.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$6.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.7M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.6M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$5.5M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$5.1M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
57%
chance
Yes 57%
No 43%
$4.3M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
chance
Yes 2%
No 98%
$3.5M Vol.
Nov 7
Politics
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
43%
chance
Yes 43%
No 57%
$3.2M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.7M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$2.4M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
16%
chance
Yes 16%
No 85%
$2.1M Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.8M Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.7M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.6M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.6M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.5M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
49%
chance
Yes 49%
No 52%
$1.5M Vol.
Nov 3
Politics
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.3M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
38%
chance
Yes 38%
No 63%
$1.2M Vol.
Nov 3
Politics
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$1.2M Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: Other
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$1.2M Vol.
Nov 3
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 86%
$1.1M Vol.
Nov 3
Politics
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$952.6K Vol.
May 26
Politics
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
34%
chance
Yes 34%
No 66%
$944.8K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes 14%
No 87%
$929.3K Vol.
Jul 31
Politics
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$928.6K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$926.9K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$924.8K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1%
chance
Yes 1%
No 99%
$883.4K Vol.
Nov 3
Politics
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40%
chance
Yes 40%
No 61%
$770.8K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$705.6K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$692.7K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$431.5K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
0%
chance
Yes <1%
No >99%
$425.7K Vol.
Jun 21
Politics
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
28%
chance
Yes 28%
No 73%
$7.7K Vol.
Dec 31
Politics
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$4.6K Vol.
Jun 30
Politics
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
46%
chance
Yes 46%
No 54%
$2.5K Vol.
Dec 31
