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world affairs
Geopolitics
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes 8%
No 92%
$8.7M Vol.
Dec 31
Geopolitics
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 90%
$348.9K Vol.
Dec 31
Geopolitics
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
17%
chance
Yes 17%
No 84%
$283.2K Vol.
Mar 31
Geopolitics
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
11%
chance
Yes 11%
No 89%
$186.5K Vol.
Jan 31
Geopolitics
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
44%
chance
Yes 44%
No 56%
$1.0K Vol.
Dec 31
