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Geopolitics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
4%
chance
Yes 4%
No 96%
$21.6M Vol.
Mar 31
Geopolitics
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
9%
chance
Yes 9%
No 91%
$6.8M Vol.
Dec 31
Geopolitics
Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
10%
chance
Yes 10%
No 91%
$211.1K Vol.
Dec 31
Geopolitics
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
13%
chance
Yes 13%
No 87%
$184.7K Vol.
Mar 31
Geopolitics
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes 6%
No 94%
$700.648279 Vol.
Dec 31