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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?

Q: Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (46%), No (54%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Volume: $35.3K

Liquidity: $825.7562

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

46.0%

probability

54.0%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%1022

3%100

4%15

8%500

9%200

Asks (Sell)

302999%

698%

1397%

345793%

5892%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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