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Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?

Q: Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (100%), No (0%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Volume: $19.2K

Liquidity: $0

Ends: Mar 31, 2026

YES

100.0%

probability

50.0%

probability

Price History

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Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

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Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?

Price History

Description

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