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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Q: Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (17%), No (83%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Volume: $31.4K

Liquidity: $444.8062

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

17.0%

probability

83.0%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%10

2%808

3%10

12%50

14%57

Asks (Sell)

462599%

898%

100096%

90093%

1092%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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