How can I practice trading "Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30"?

FantasyPoly lets you practice this prediction market with virtual money. Buy Yes or No shares, track your simulated PnL, and learn how prediction markets work without depositing or risking real money.

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Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30

Q: Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30

Current market-implied probabilities: Yes (1%), No (99%). This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume: $47.3K

Liquidity: $1.5K

YES

1.3%

probability

98.8%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%20003

<1%1067

<1%717

<1%61

1%339

Asks (Sell)

100016>99%

100000>99%

8>99%

1300099%

999%

Description

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How Prediction Markets Work

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.