How can I practice trading "Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?"?

FantasyPoly lets you practice this prediction market with virtual money. Buy Yes or No shares, track your simulated PnL, and learn how prediction markets work without depositing or risking real money.

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Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Q: Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Current market-implied probabilities: Yes (75%), No (26%). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume: $9.3K

Liquidity: $3.5K

Ends: Jan 1, 2027

YES

74.5%

probability

NO

25.5%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%1350

2%757

3%500

4%250

5%1000

Asks (Sell)

20099%

1098%

62095%

25094%

793%

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

Trade

Amount ($)

$

This is a simulation. No real money involved.