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Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Q: Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (3%), No (97%). If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Volume: $1.1M

Liquidity: $26.8K

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

3.1%

probability

NO

96.9%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%89871

<1%3166

<1%2000

1%1000

1%10

Asks (Sell)

11036800>99%

2000>99%

200000>99%

461099%

181899%

Description

If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

Trade

Amount ($)

$

This is a simulation. No real money involved.