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Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Q: Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (9%), No (91%). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Volume: $543.5K

Liquidity: $36.0K

Ends: Jun 30, 2026

YES

9.2%

probability

90.8%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%89099

<1%12008

<1%7286

<1%1507533

1%19

Asks (Sell)

9906>99%

23>99%

200599%

2999%

3030095%

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

How Prediction Markets Work

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.