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Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Q: Sam Altman in jail by June 30?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (2%), No (98%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume: $16.0K

Liquidity: $1.8K

Ends: Dec 31, 2025

YES

2.5%

probability

NO

97.5%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%3232

<1%97

<1%250

1%87

1%58

Asks (Sell)

131072>99%

122776>99%

60000>99%

8192>99%

20000>99%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

Trade

Amount ($)

$

This is a simulation. No real money involved.