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Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Q: Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Current market-implied probabilities: Yes (2%), No (98%). This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume: $15.4K

Liquidity: $4.3K

Ends: Apr 1, 2026

YES

1.6%

probability

98.4%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

<1%47924

<1%2726

<1%624

<1%34

1%200

Asks (Sell)

161>99%

75>99%

6095%

1195%

210090%

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

How Prediction Markets Work

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Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.