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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Q: Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Yes (23%), No (78%). This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume: $144.0K

Liquidity: $16.7K

Ends: Dec 31, 2026

YES

22.5%

probability

NO

77.5%

probability

Price History

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Order Book

Bids (Buy)

1%12010

2%14608

3%5330

4%7

5%400

Asks (Sell)

601599%

1598%

4200096%

428693%

1330092%

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How Prediction Markets Work

1

Choose your position: Buy "YES" if you think it will happen, or "NO" if you don't.

2

Set your stake: Trade with virtual currency. The price reflects market probability.

3

Wait for the outcome: If you're right, you receive $1 per share. If wrong, you lose your stake.

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Amount ($)

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